
Azerbaijan's energy sector delivered a strong first quarter in 2026, with crude oil and petroleum product exports reaching $1.70 billion in January-February alone and new strategic agreements positioning the country for expanded gas deliveries to European and regional markets. The performance underscores Baku's continued centrality in Eurasian energy geopolitics despite global transition pressures.
Oil production from the flagship Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli (ACG) field remains on track, with the US Energy Information Administration maintaining its 2026 forecast at 540,000 barrels per day. Full-year ACG production is projected at 120.1 million barrels, generating revenues of approximately $4.23 billion. Net hydrocarbon revenues across all fields are expected to reach $5.03 billion for the year, according to Trend News Agency.
The gas sector has been the standout performer. On January 4, Azerbaijan and Turkey signed a landmark agreement for the supply of 33 billion cubic meters of natural gas, significantly expanding one of the most important bilateral energy relationships in the region. This was followed on January 16 by the historic first delivery of Azerbaijani gas to Austria and Germany, opening two new European markets for Caspian gas.
The expansion of gas exports has been facilitated by the 1.2 billion cubic meter capacity boost to the Trans Adriatic Pipeline (TAP), the European segment of the Southern Gas Corridor. Total gas exports reached 25.2 billion cubic meters in 2025, with more than half directed to European Union member states.
Investment diversification continued at pace. SOCAR, the state oil company, acquired a 10 percent stake in the Baleine oil and gas development project in Côte d'Ivoire through an agreement with Italy's Eni S.p.A., marking SOCAR's first significant upstream investment in sub-Saharan Africa. The move reflects Baku's strategy to build a global energy portfolio beyond the Caspian basin.
Downstream operations are also expanding. The Heydar Aliyev Oil Refinery plans to produce 1.4 million tons of Euro-5 gasoline and 2.3 million tons of diesel fuel in 2026, meeting domestic demand while creating export potential for refined products.
Abu Dhabi National Oil Company's entry into the Southern Gas Corridor's capital structure adds another dimension to Azerbaijan's energy partnerships, potentially opening new avenues for increasing gas supplies to Europe and attracting Gulf investment capital to Caspian energy infrastructure.