
Azerbaijan's flagship Azeri-Chirag-Deepwater Gunashli (ACG) oilfield is projected to produce 120.1 million barrels of crude oil in 2026, with estimated revenues of $4.23 billion according to government budget forecasts. The production target reflects the BP-led consortium's success in sustaining plateau output from the Caspian Sea's largest producing field through continued investment in enhanced recovery techniques.
Total net hydrocarbon revenues for Azerbaijan are expected to reach $5.03 billion in 2026, with ACG accounting for approximately 84 percent of the total. The field, which has been producing since 1997, has undergone multiple phases of development, with the most recent being the Azeri Central East platform that came online in 2023.
The BP-led consortium, which includes SOCAR, Equinor, ExxonMobil, and other international partners, has been advancing a $2.9 billion expansion program to extend plateau production beyond 2030. The expansion involves drilling new wells, deploying enhanced oil recovery technology, and debottlenecking existing processing facilities to maximize output from the mature field.
Azerbaijan exported 3.6 million tons of crude oil and bituminous petroleum products worth $1.70 billion during January-February 2026 alone, according to the State Customs Committee. These figures suggest the country is on track to meet its annual production targets, though analysts note that global oil price volatility remains a key variable affecting revenue projections.
The ACG field's continued productivity is critical to Azerbaijan's fiscal planning and its ability to fund diversification initiatives including renewable energy development and infrastructure modernization. SOFAZ, the sovereign wealth fund that manages oil revenues, has been significantly expanding its international investment portfolio, using current hydrocarbon income to build sustainable return-generating assets for the post-oil era.
Industry analysts from the Chambers and Partners 2026 investment guide note that Azerbaijan's ability to maintain high production levels from ACG while simultaneously building renewable capacity demonstrates a balanced approach to the energy transition — one that avoids the premature abandonment of productive hydrocarbon assets while investing meaningfully in the energy systems of the future.