Azerbaijan anchors the region’s energy economy — SOCAR, Shah Deniz and the Southern Gas Corridor — and sits at the hinge of the Middle Corridor trade route. This desk tracks Caucasus Business Journal’s Azerbaijan coverage: energy, investment, corridors and diplomacy.
Oil and gas remain the anchor — led by SOCAR, the Shah Deniz field and the Southern Gas Corridor — with growing diversification into transit, logistics, tourism and technology, including SOCAR’s push into AI and data centres.
Azerbaijani gas reaches 16 countries. Italy is the largest European buyer, with Germany and Austria added in 2026, and corridor partners are working toward roughly 20 bcm of deliveries to Europe.
SOCAR is the State Oil Company of Azerbaijan Republic — the wholly state-owned national energy company, and since July 2026 the operator of the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline.
Three: the Middle Corridor (Trans-Caspian route) for cargo between China and Europe, the Southern Gas Corridor for gas to Europe, and the emerging TRIPP link to Nakhchivan and Türkiye.
Slow but steady growth. Forecasts for 2026 fall in a narrow 1.5–2.5% band: the government projects 1.7% real GDP growth, ING 1.9% and the Asian Development Bank 2.0% (easing to 1.8% in 2027). Declining oil and gas output caps headline growth, so the non-oil economy, projected to grow 3.1% in 2026, is doing the lifting.
Yes. In January–August 2026, real GDP grew 1.2%: non-oil and gas GDP rose 2.1% while the oil and gas sector contracted 0.8%. Fixed-capital investment was up 10% year on year.
The buffers are deep. Strategic foreign-currency reserves are about $91 billion, nearly 20 times the country’s $4.5 billion of external public debt (5.6% of GDP), and the foreign-trade surplus topped $10 billion in January–August 2026.
The draft 2027 state budget assumes oil at $65 a barrel. It projects revenues of AZN 39.2 billion against spending of AZN 42.4 billion, a deficit of AZN 3.2 billion or 2.2% of GDP, with 60.5% of state revenue coming from outside oil and gas. Inflation was 5.7% in the first eight months of 2026 and is projected to ease to 5.3% on average in 2027.